Beware Of A Mortgage Refinance Miscalculation That Could Be Costly

There was a refinance BOOM in 2020 and 2021 because mortgage rates plummeted to all-time lows. Well-qualified borrowers are getting much lower rates than headline averages. Just be aware of a mortgage refinancing miscalculation that can prove to be costly: the lender taking forever.

Let me tell you one of my favorite jokes.

Elizabeth, Donald, and Joe are stranded on a desert island. Their plane crash-landed and they miraculously survived.

After living off of only coconuts for two weeks, Donald looks into the distance and thinks he sees land. He's not sure whether he's delirious, but he convinces Elizabeth and Joe that there's only one way to find out.

After swimming for more than eight hours, the gang of three happily realize Donald really did see land! They're elated.

About 30 minutes away from shore Joe suddenly stops and says, “Folks, I'm too tired to continue. Go ahead without me.”

Joe then decides to turn around and swim all the way back to the island.

During my mortgage refinance, I pulled a Joe. Let me explain why. It was the hardest refinance ever.

A Costly Mortgage Refinancing Miscalculation

After two months into my mortgage refinance process with Citibank, I decided to cancel. We were only seven days away from closing.

I was refinancing a 5/1 ARM at 2.5% into a 10/1 ARM at 3% for a cost of $1,500. If I did not refinance before August 1, my rate would reset to 4.5%. I canceled in late May.

The main reason why I canceled with Citibank was due to broken promises. Citibank promised me 2.875% if I just locked with them the week I did at 3%. They said they would get my rate down by 0.125% the following week, but they never did.

Not one to reward broken promises, I decided to hunt elsewhere. I still had two months of time before my ARM reset. Adjustable rate mortgages are better than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages.

Found A Better Mortgage Rate

I found a better deal with Wells Fargo which offered me 2.875% for a 7/1 ARM with no refinance fees plus a $2,000 credit. Getting a 0.125% lower rate and $3,500 in savings was tempting, even if I had to go through the pain of transferring $750,000 in assets to the bank. I didn't mind transferring one of my portfolios because it was mostly full of 20-year municipal bonds that I'd hold on forever.

So I went back to Citibank and asked them to match Wells Fargo's offer of 2.875% because Citibank said they would be willing to match a better offer once I locked. Besides, Citibank had originally promised me 2.875% anyway.

To keep things simple, I was even willing to accept 2.875% and pay $1,500 in refinance fees with Citibank instead of receiving 2.875% and a $2,000 credit from Wells Fargo.

Surely, Citibank would agree. After all, I'd been a good customer since 2001, had multiple accounts, and had referred them tons of business over the years.

However, because Citibank reneged on its oral promise, I felt obliged to cancel with Citibank. Otherwise, I would have felt like a loser who had been taken advantage of. So I told them to cancel all the work we had done up to that point and refund me the upfront appraisal and credit check fees, which they thankfully did.

I wasn't completely starting over with Wells Fargo because I already had all the documents they needed due to my refinance process with Citibank. But I was taking a gamble because Wells Fargo was a new relationship.

The Wells Fargo mortgage representative said that two months should be enough time to get the refinance squared away so that I'd be paying the lower 2.875% rate come August 1st instead of my new 4.5% rate.

I believed him. Oops.

A Crucial Mortgage Refinance Miscalculation

It turns out, my Wells Fargo loan officer was wrong. I'm now in my third month of refinancing. The refinance has taken so long that I had to resend several brokerage documents for underwriting because they had expired. When will it ever end? I don't know.

My loan officer said that because mortgage rates have continued to go down since we locked, there's a huge backlog of applications their underwriters have to go through.

Based on public data, mortgage refinancing volume is up some 50% YoY in July. When August data comes out, I'm sure the increase will be of similar magnitude. It is a mortgage refinancing bonanza!

The only silver lining is that I've been able to pressure them to re-lock to a lower rate given the process is taking so long. I'm now at 2.75% with $4,000 in credit from 2.875% and a $2,000 credit, if I move over $750,000 in assets.

More Mortgage Interest As A Result Of Delays

I've calculated that each day past August 1 my mortgage refinance does not close is costing me an unanticipated $33.56 in interest because I'm paying the new 4.5% rate instead of the new 2.75% rate. Over a 30 day period, that's an extra $1,005 in mortgage interest.

This is disappointing because I pride myself on taking into consideration every single variable possible to make the right choice. The one variable I did not anticipate was the loan officer overpromising and underdelivering by so much.

One of the most common sales tactics is to lure you in with a deal that sounds too good to be true For example, car dealerships used to advertise a smoking good deal for a car in the paper with the fine print “only one available at this price.” By the time you got to the store, the car was of course gone. All that's left are the full-price vehicles.

I took a risk with a new lender who is not delivering. At least I don't have to pay for the rate extension.

Refinancing Your Mortgage Will Take Longer Than You Think

Beware of a crucial mortgage refinancing mistake that will cost you money

Long gone are the days when you could refinance in 30 – 45 days. You will most likely need a mortgage rate lock extension, so ask how much one will cost beforehand.

Due to COVID-19, things are backed up in the underwriting departments of major lenders. Further, due to pent up demand, lenders are super busy.

When I took out a new mortgage in 2014 for my current residence, it took about two months to close. If you were to refinance today, I would mentally bake in it taking 3 – 4 months to successfully complete a refinance.

A 3 – 4 month closing period is particularly pertinent for Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM) holders who are facing an expiration of their fixed term. Your ultimate goal is to refinance an ARM the week its set to reset.

30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgages Are OK

For those with 30-year fixed mortgages, it shouldn't matter as much how long the refinance takes because your mortgage rate isn't resetting.

But to save money, you should still refinance and push to have a quicker close. Paying a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has already been proven to be a suboptimal choice as interest rates have come down since the late 1980s.

Make sure you calculate the estimated extra interest cost you will pay if you do not refinance by your target date. Make sure the bank also covers all mortgage extension fees if they cannot deliver.

If you are choosing between banks, going with the bank that can refinance your mortgage quicker, even if they are charging a slightly higher rate, might actually be better. You must not only calculate the true cost differential between two banks, but also the extra hassle you must go through to deal with a bank with a long close.

No More Refinancing After This Mortgage Refinancing Miscalculation

Once my refinance is completed I will solemnly swear to never refinance a mortgage again. I plan to pay off my principal residence mortgage before it resets in September 2026. Refinancing a mortgage is too difficult. Besides, mortgage rates are higher due to inflation.

If I don't because I found some sweet property in Hawaii before then, it shouldn't matter because by then the mortgage will be so small by then that even a large jump in interest rates won't make a difference to my cash flow.

If you smartly plan on refinancing your mortgage today, I wish you better luck than I've received so far. Perhaps don't be so stubborn and “pull a Joe” if you value your time and sanity. Fingers crossed my mortgage refinance will be done by the end of this month. When it is, I'll share the final details and some new lessons learned.

Related: Resist The Temptation To Do A Cash-Out Refinance

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Take a look at my two favorite real estate crowdfunding platforms.

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Don't let a mortgage refinancing miscalculation derail your real estate purchase plans. Investing in private real estate is less stress and way more passive.

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James w
James w
2 years ago

No one ever talks about mortgage portability. I plan to do that to keep my 2.75 fixed 30 year rate. Are you familiar with this process?

marc
marc
5 years ago

“Paying a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has already been proven to be a suboptimal choice as interest rates have come down since the late 1980s.”

We have a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 3.5% and it’s not bad

cheeky_fellow
cheeky_fellow
5 years ago

Hi Sam + FS community,

Avid reader and sparse contributor here. Also not a math guy – which is why FS is my bible! Thanks for everything you do, Sam!

Quick question:

I’m currently exploring a refinance, although my current mortgage is pretty good (30 yr fixed @ 3.5% in which i’m 3+ years into). I am forecasting that we will move into a new house sometime in the next 5 years.

Currently, Citibank is quoting me 3% on a 15 yr fixed with .5 points. I am in their second tier of relationship pricing. I have negotiated a $500 credit for the appraisal, although i’m trying to get a flat out waiver for the appraisal fee since i’ve had one completed on the property in the last 12 months, and instead apply that $500 to the other fees (application, credit pull, possibly the .5 point?).

Right now i’m calculating a ~3yr breakeven which would not make sense for us to go through with the refinance transaction at this time. However, the Citibank officer is telling me the following – should i take this into my calculations, or is this a bunch of bologna?!

“Keep in mind that you will be able to miss a mortgage payment that will allow you to more than double your first mortgage payment.

This will greatly reduce the initial cost of doing the loan. By making that large first payment to your mortgage you will greatly reduce your principle balance.”

thx!
TJ

DW
DW
5 years ago

Thanks for the great info. I have a 10/1 ARM with Citi from 2015 coincidentally also at 3.0%. I’ve been paying it down (principal $1M+) slowly since the after-tax cost of carrying the loan seems really reasonable. Probably going to wait until year end and refi into another 10/1 if rates remain where they are or go lower.

Wanderer01
Wanderer01
5 years ago

We converted our primary residence to investment rental in 2017 when we moved out of US to Hong Kong. Our rate on the property when we purchased was 2.625% 5/1 arm. I have been following the USD 1 year libor to see where it is and what my reset will be when it happens in 2019 (original purchase was in 2014).

I spoke with a couple of brokers for refinancing, but they had a hard time comprehending that my salary is in HKD. My wife and I are both US citizens, and we file US taxes annually.

One bank was very easy to talk with (we have our accounts with them), and they said they can refinance. I visited their office on my last trip to US in June, and then we started the refi discussions. In June, I was told I can get a lower rate for 30 day lock, and I said that can be done. I don’t have to come up with any new cash as there is nearly 50% equity in the property. 2 months later when I was ready to go through refi, bank told me that they can no longer do 30 day refi, too much demand for refi and the bank can’t handle the capacity!

For now I will let my rate reset with my current lender, and will work on refi with the everyday bank … they’ve offered me 10/1 arm interest only, with the option to paydown principal whenever I want without any penalty.

James M
James M
5 years ago

2 year treasuries, 10 year treasuries and maybe even the entire government yield curve is likely to go negative in the USA.

If the USA mortgage market behaves anything like Germany and other European markets, that will translate into mortgage rates of around 1% to 1.5% in the USA.

Since Japan and most of Europe now has negative government interest rates, we are starting to see a lot more money flooding the USA treasury bond market. The USA is the only game on the planet where they can still earn positive returns. I expect it to happen within the next 2 years.

gene
gene
5 years ago

I have had several properties/mortgages. In my experience, mortgages written with one of the big banks (BofA, Citibank, Wells) have been retained and serviced by the banks. My primary home mortgage (jumbo loan) was through a broker. The rate was better. However, the servicing has been sold 4 times in 5 years. I would much rather have one servicer for the life of the loan. I feel that this adds the possibility of error servicing the loan with so many different hands on it. I have tried to stay on top of it, but it is difficult. Brokers on this post: Am I wrong?

JJHOMELOANS
JJHOMELOANS
5 years ago

I am a broker here in California and although processing times have increased, I still close refinances in less than 30 days easily. Large banks can’t handle the influx of loans so they increase their rates to slow down business. Reading the comments above, it is rather entertaining to see the opinions of brokers, but of course everyone has their own experiences to base their opinions on…to each their own.

The key is to find a trustworthy, experienced, and reliable broker (financial advisor, CPA, etc. Any financial services) so you don’t have to worry about empty promises. Most likely, you just haven’t found a good one.

Buddha
Buddha
5 years ago

Is it better to work through a mortgage broker or go directly to the financing source (bank, credit union) to get the best deal?

Bill
Bill
5 years ago

I refinanced a 30 year through Schwab Quicken in August 2016, the last time rates were this low. I have accounts at Schwab. From my first phone contact with Quicken to the day they came to my house with the closing documents was 23 days.

james22
james22
5 years ago

What are you earning on the $750k muni bonds? That much more than 2.75%?

Why not just pay off the mortgage?

Cindy Katz
Cindy Katz
5 years ago

Why is your blog advertising Lending Tree for mortgages but you chose Citibank and Wells Fargo. Why didn’t you go to Lending Tree if that is where you are sending the readers of your blog?

James M
James M
5 years ago

I recently bought a new primary residence and went through the mortgage process. I wanted to try to apply to 2 or 3 mortgages at the same time, then pick the best deal at the end. But my real estate agent really advised against it. So I unfortunately went with just one.

Then at the end a bunch of ridiculous fees were on the closing statement that were WAY off from the earlier closing estimate. But at the end you have no time or other options. So I had no leverage to “walk away”. We had a good deal on the overall house price, because it was a stress sale by the sellers (not a short sale, but they were desperate). But I got screwed on the fees.

In a refinance, obviously you have more time and flexibility to play lenders against each other or walk away and stick with the current mortgage. But what about when getting an initial purchase? Is there a way to play multiple lenders against each other?

Tracy
Tracy
5 years ago

If anyone has an opinion for me….Just bought this house in February (first payment was April) 30 yr fixed at 4.875%…I have paid the principal down to $132k. At the rate I am going, I will have it paid off in 3 yrs. Is it worth it for me to refinance to a lower rate, if I am going to be paying it off in 3 yrs?? You can see my amortization schedule at americanseniorcitizen.com
Thanks everyone….btw Sam, you are one of my inspirations…thanks for writing your blog.
thank you,
Tracy
aka American Senior Citzen

Money Ronin
Money Ronin
5 years ago

Sorry to hear about your delay. We exchanged some refi info in the FS forum when you were going with Citibank and I was going with Wells. My relationship with Wells is likely similar to yours with Citibank. It took at least a month longer than promised to complete and lots of weeks with no updates. I closed early July.

Same experience when I subsequently applied for a Wells HELOC which was unceremoniously denied by letter. My private banker is looking into it but even she hasn’t been able to get an answer. The underwriters are just slammed.

At least you got the better loan.

TheEngineer
TheEngineer
5 years ago

This is an honest and sincere post of an epic failure in the battle of David the banker vs Goliath the banker. In myth David won, but in real life, David will lose every time!

Wells Fargo and Citibank are big business entities that are competing in an arena of razor thin basis point.

They made money from the thinly margin multiplied with endless low net worth clients (90% of the population) compounded gain over time.

Essentially, you are trying to squeeze the thin margin by making it even thinner.

Had you succeeded the system will evolved, artificial intelligence, and close for the next guy who try duplicate your hack. Otherwise, it will be out the business and you will become the Goliath banker since you just slaughtered the vulnerable system.

In practically, it is best to invest time and effort in the utility for the mass. Try to build the ever higher net worth by hacking system above your pay scale will be paid in full with your HEALTH down the road.

Actually, you did the Elizabeth because Donald, your financial intellect, though it was land. It was a mirage!

Evelyn
Evelyn
5 years ago

I feel your pain. Refinancing with Wells Fargo. Had mortgage with them for over 10 yrs & just got approval notice approaching 60 days, not surprised if it takes another 30 to close.

CoastalD
CoastalD
5 years ago

I am in a refinance process now with a close date of next week. Will be a total of 28 days from app/lock to close with Hancock Whitney including physical appraisal.

SM
SM
5 years ago

Sam-I am the person who introduced you to the Wells Fargo Mortgage person. I understand how you feel but believe me my own refi for an investment property took 2X longer than usual. I was extremely frustrated like you. Overall I have been very happy with my WF experience. They have usually come through. Have done 3 refi’s this year with Wells and hope to do one more. Saved $24K a year…worth the pain :)

Reader
Reader
5 years ago

I recommend refinancing through a credit union.

Getting our mortgage and our first refinance were painful processes with lots of back and forth, paperwork, and confusion on the part of the lenders. Our last refinance through our credit union was simple, straightforward (two meetings total I think), and we got a great rate that we will keep till the house is paid off. I wish we’d just gone with a credit union from the get-go!

Drew
5 years ago

Underwriters nit pick the files. If you have a lot of self employment revenue streams you go to the back of the line at big lenders like that. I’m a broker, so I know if someone is looking for a smoother process, those banks are not where you g.

GenX FIRE
5 years ago

We did a refi a couple of years ago to get us to 3.25 on a fixed 30 year VA mortgage. We were also under the jumbo limit at that point. We paid about 22% down up front, so there was no mortgage insurance for us. We’ve made a bunch of principle payments and are now down under $225k. We plan on paying it off in 10 years or so, perhaps a bit less, but I am wondering if we should refi again now to a 15 or something; even a 7 arm. One thing holding me back is the proliferation of negative rates around the world. Greenspan even said they might come here. I wonder if they will, and if waiting a year might make it even more economical for us.

PhiloBeddoe
PhiloBeddoe
5 years ago
Reply to  GenX FIRE

GenX FIRE: As I understand it, there’s no mortgage insurance with a VA loan anyway.

Untemplater
5 years ago

Refinancing is a royal pita but worth it if there’s enough savings. It definitely takes a LOT of patience these days, paying attention to details so one gets them the correct docs the first time and thus not lose time having to resend different docs, and also be proactive to ask for regular updates to make sure nothing slips through the cracks. How annoying you had to resend some statements because the older ones expired bc the underwriting team was taking so long. And that’s too bad that Citi disappointed you like that. Sounds like a bait and switch – I hate that feeling. Best of luck closing with WF!

Eric J
Eric J
5 years ago

That sucks about all the delays you’ve experienced. I’m about to refinance a rental property, but it’s with a small community bank and they always move quick. Did you ever consider a smaller bank? My experience with community banks has been much better, and I got better rates too… but I wasn’t getting jumbo mortgages like you…

Also, curious if you’d ever consider an interest only mortgage? Charles Schwab offers low rate interest only mortgages in the low 3’s, and even lower if you transfer money over. They are structured as ARMs with a fixed rate periof, but I believe the first 10 yrs are interest only and then it becomes a 20 year amortized loan. If you can deduct the interest on your taxes and your property is appreciating around 2% or more per year, you’re basically borrowing money for free while freeing up cashflow for better investments than a house. It’s like a bond on a house…

Steve B
Steve B
5 years ago

Hi Sam,

Great site with great information.

I have a rental property that I want to refinance. with these rates, I’m looking at a 30 year fixed. I know that at some point rates will rise and i don’t want to be stuck in a 7-yr Arm only to have to refinance.

What is your philosophy on the ARM vs the Fixed? Did you write a previous post and if so do you still believe that post makes sense in today’s market?

Thanks,

Dane
Dane
5 years ago

I wish I knew how you get these low rates. I am looking at the same refinance options and don’t get quoted anywhere near the same rates. My credit is excellent and I have equity. I guess my issue is that I don’t bring enough cash to the bank. Chase alluded that unless you bring $250K to a savings account with them, they won’t offer a rate discount.