Investments

The Punt Portfolio Rule: How Much Bitcoin Can You Safely Own

Bitcoin is an alternative asset. And when it comes to alternative assets, my rule since leaving Wall Street in 2012 has been simple: no more than 20% of investable capital. Venture capital, venture debt, private equity, private real estate, collectibles, precious metals, and yes, Bitcoin all fight for space inside that 20%. The problem I […]

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Be Careful Buying The Dip Too Often, Too Soon

I’ve been aggressively buying the dip since March 2020, when I wrote How To Predict A Stock Market Bottom Like Nostradamus. My daughter was born four months earlier, and something inside me clicked, pushing me to invest aggressively for her future in an increasingly difficult world. Since then, I’ve continued to buy virtually every meaningful dip

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Warning: Households Have More Wealth in Stocks Than Real Estate

Beyond expensive valuations, with the S&P 500 trading at roughly 22 times estimated forward earnings, another concern for the stock market is quietly flashing red: U.S. households now have more net worth in stocks than in real estate. On the surface, this might not sound alarming. After all, the stock market has been ripping higher

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FIRE Confessional: No Big Paycheck During a Bull Market Stinks

It’s a raging bull market, and I’ll confess, I’m a little annoyed I don’t have a large paycheck anymore to take advantage of more investment opportunities. Every day, I see people with steady W-2 income are funneling thousands into stocks, real estate, and private deals. Meanwhile, I’m sitting here, asset rich but cash flow constrained.

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It Feels Like 1999 Again: Time To Party Without Blacking Out

1999 is back, and I’ve missed it. Ever since then, I’ve been chasing that next 50-bagger, the kind of life-changing winner that helped me come up with the down payment for my first property. But he’s been elusive. I still remember sitting on the international trading floor at Goldman Sachs at 1 New York Plaza,

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